Just for the record, despite the ongoing talks, heavy fighting in Kabul and elsewhere has continued apace because there is no trust between the warring factions and because US forces continue to target Taliban’s positions across the country albeit clandestinely.
No wonder the Afghan government has failed to sell any new push for a nationwide ceasefire. In between, different terrorist groups are also taking advantage of the situation to dig deeply into the war-torn country’s never-ending insecurity and chaos.
What’s more, diplomacy is moving slowly in Afghanistan since the US-Taliban peace agreement was made in February. Each point of progress is followed by some setback, each positive headline by a negative one.
In the prevailing environment, it’s wishful thinking to conclude that the longest war in American history would ever come to an end even if all sides agree on a so-called peace deal in Doha. The signs are all over the place.
Despite Trump’s election-themed promises, the United States has no plans to withdraw all its occupying troops from Afghanistan. The War Party promised just that back in 2016, but the US military never left the long-suffering country.
With or without Trump, the War Party has set the stage for eternal occupation of Afghanistan to counter China and to maintain the status quo on this part of the planet. And no, it’s not about counter-terrorism or saving the people of Afghanistan, either.
It’s about the Military-Industrial Complex and the American empire of bases. It’s about achieving full dominance, oil reserves in the former Soviet Republics, tremendous deposits of mineral wealth in Afghanistan, and of course pivoting to Asia.
The mission occupation is not be small, nor will it be free of combat missions. It has prioritized direct military missions over logistical support and rebuilding.
After the November election in the US, the occupation would not come to a responsible end. With the destructive presence of ISIL militants and US-led forces, Afghanistan will continue to be even more destabilizing for the region and the world than Iraq and Syria.
The US has established many bases around the country and spent billions on a deceitful war that didn’t work. It has had no military victory. After two decades of US military intervention, it is inescapably clear that Washington failed to bomb Afghanistan into Western democracy or drone away the Taliban.
There is no reason to think this time it would be otherwise once it’s a wrap for the Doha talks. Trump might claim conditions are improving and the time has come to call it quits in Afghanistan so he could win the election. But with a China rising, the evidence is scant.
As it stood then and still stands now, Afghanistan does not need to depend on foreign powers to sign a peace deal among its warring factions and deal with its internal problems. Peace would only come without foreign interference and occupation. And that deal should also include the return of millions of refugees that are now currently living in Iran, Pakistan and across the European continent.
The people of Afghanistan are desperately longing for the day they will attain peace and prosperity. In order to come to a real solution, and to help intra-Afghan diplomacy succeed, they first need to see all foreign occupying forces leave their country.
That could happen in cooperation with the country’s neighbors and in the absence of foreign occupying troops, armed struggle, and US-led policies of violence, meddling and threats. Until that happens and with no US exit in sight, expect next year the War Party to mark its 20th anniversary of the invasion and occupation of Afghanistan.